The Confidence Cone
Forecast the future, then see the uncertainty everyone hides.
most dashboards show a single confident line; this playground refuses to draw one without its cone attached, exposing how much of any forecast slide is guesswork dressed as precision
What goes in, what comes out
The learner builds a simple forecast — revenue, demand, headcount — over a historical series using adjustable trend and seasonality knobs, then drags what-if levers like a price change or a lost channel to see it update live. Every forecast line ships with its confidence cone drawn by default, never as an optional toggle.
tune trend/seasonality knobs, apply a what-if shock, then read the resulting cone
a forecast line with a visible confidence cone, plus a 'how wrong this could reasonably be' band in real units
historical window length, trend/seasonality strength, what-if shock size, confidence level (80/90/95%)
Data L1 forecasting baseline; crosses into Founders unit-economics and Business finance-reporting modules
Concepts click when you open the machinery.
Three labs are already live and free — the same hands-on style this playground brings to its module.